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Mexico entered a mild recession in 2019

The numbers contrast with López Obrador's presidential campaign

Mexico has focused on investing in Pemex and welfare programs - Photo: Edgard Garrido/REUTERS
26/11/2019 |14:12Reuters |
Redacción El Universal
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According to the INEGI , Mexico's statistics agency, the economy entered a mild during the first half of 2019 and was flat in the third quarter.

The figures showed the economy contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in seasonally-adjusted terms during both the first and second quarters of 2019 after also shrinking by the same margin in the last three months of 2018.

Economists

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define as two consecutive quarters of contraction in .

In a preliminary estimate published in late October, the INEGI reported that the economy grew by 0.1% from the previous quarter during the July-September period. However, that figure was revised down to show the economy stagnated.

Alberto Ramos

, a Goldman Sachs economist , said the bank now expected no growth to be registered in Mexico in 2019 after the advanced by 2% last year.

In 2020 , the economy should bounce back somewhat, expanding by 1.1%, lifted by several factors including a recovery in oil and gas output , activity, wage gains, and a pick-up in public sector spending , he said.

Investor confidence

in Mexico , Latin America’s second-largest economy , has been shaken by a number of policies implemented by López Obrador .

In particular, his decision to cancel a partly built, USD $13 billion and his retreat from the prior government’s opening of the oil and gas industry to private capital have raised doubts about his economic management.

When López Obrador took office in December 2018, he pledged to ramp up growth to 4% per year . Instead, the has slowed down, and he has sought to deflect criticism by saying poorer parts of Mexico have benefited more from his policies.

The INEGI ’s data showed that during the first nine months of 2019, Mexican was unchanged in adjusted terms compared with the same period last year.

A breakdown of those figures showed that secondary activities , which include manufacturing , slipped 1.7% from the previous year during the January-September period.

Tertiary activities

, which capture services, rose by 0.6%, while primary activities , which cover farming , fishing , and , rose by 2.2%, the agency said.

In unadjusted terms, the shrank 0.3% from a year earlier during the third quarter, the data showed.

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