PRI leads State of Mexico before days to election

According to studies made by EL UNIVERSAL in early April and May, in addition to this last round, Alfredo Del Mazo keeps the lead with 33.8% of the vote intention
File Photo/EL UNIVERSAL
31/05/2017
11:00
Newsroom
Mexico City
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The candidate of ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) to the government of the State of Mexico, Alfredo del Mazo, has a 4.5 percentage point advantage over Delfina Gómez, of far-left National Regeneration Movement (MORENA), a few days before the election in the entity. According to studies made by EL UNIVERSAL in early April and May, in addition to this last round, Del Mazo keeps the lead in each of them.

This exercise also shows that Juan Zepeda, candidate of left Democratic Revolution Party (PRD), is placed third above Josefina Vázquez Mota of conservative National Action Party (PAN), who moved from second place in February to fourth in this round of registration.

The poll also addressed other areas such as greater visibility, in which Alfredo del Mazo leads the exercise as well as better perception among voters, with Juan Zepeda leading the way. There is also a negative area and Alfredo del Mazo leads it too by being perceived by 39.5% as the most corrupt.

To the question of which candidate people would never vote for, 41% mentioned PRI.

Thus, Alfredo del Mazo achieved 33.8% of the preferences; Delfina Gómez, 29.3%; Juan Zepeda, 17.4%; Josefina Vázquez Mota, 14.7%; independent candidate, Teresa Castell, 2.9%; and Óscar González, of Labor Party (PT), 1.9%.

This exercise did not measure the effect of Óscar González' endorsement favoring Delfina Gómez, of MORENA, which occurred on May 26, since this happened once the survey had already begun. However, based on a calculation made by this newspaper and from the data generated during the survey, one third of the potential PT voters mentioned MORENA as a second option, that is, 0.63%.

About 17% of respondents said they had received offers or incentives in exchange for their vote and 4.9% received threats to vote for or against a candidate.

Current Governor Eruviel Ávila maintains divided opinions, as he is disapproved by 44.1% of the voters while 41.9% approve his management. In contrast, President of Mexico, Enrique Peña Nieto, has a level of disapproval of 67.9%

The methodology of the study was based on domicile interviews to one thousand citizens with electoral identification established in the State of Mexico. For this purpose, 100 points were selected and 10 interviews were carried out in each of them. The survey was done from May 26 to 29, had a rejection rate of 18.13% and a statistical error margin of +/- 3.1%.

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